Carlos Guillen has made no secret that he would like a long term contract in place before Spring Training begins. This begs the question of “How much Carlos is worth to the Tigers?”
Carlos has an immense following here in Detroit and I’m a fan myself, however has he hit his peak? Carlos is 31 and not going to be at the shortstop position for much longer, as evidenced by his errors last year and fagility. Guillen had a stellar year last year hitting his highest yearly BA and OBP (except his first year which only had 39 AB’s), but it wasn’t viewed as great from the start as you can see in this link from a post on Beck’s Blog. With Casey locked down for one year, Guillen could make the shift but Shelton is also vying for that role and his tradeability isn’t going to be high though his potential is good.
Guillen will want a contract that will lock him up for a number of years and for the Tigers right now its a tough situation. Without a future infielder in waiting the Tigers hands are tied in many ways for the next couple of years but Guillen will likely look beyond that and that could be dangerous for Detroit. Baseball Prospectus (subscription required) has Guillen’s worth declining rapidly year over year through 2010 with his worth higher than his salary this year for the next couple of years.
I would love to see Detroit sign Carlos to a 3-year, at most, deal for around 7-8M a year and I think this will be far to low (I would obviously love much lower too but I’m trying to be semi-realistic). I also wouldn’t be surprised for Detroit to take the bait and sign him up for years to come for some real money and the success of that is in doubt by me. Either way we will likely get an answer fairly soon.
What do you think Guillen is worth?